| Subject: |
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Re: Lest we forget.... |
| Name: |
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Dave Gardner |
| Date Posted: |
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Aug 19, 07 - 12:47 PM |
| Email: |
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djgardner@btinternet.com |
| Message: |
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Actually the Met Office forecast is more cautious than I imagined it to be. Leaving aside the woeful performance in providing any sort of useful service on warning about the amount of rainfall that is on the way, the only thing you can pin them down on is that they predicted summer (June-July-August) temperatures to be above the 1971-2000 average.
On another Met Office webpage they indicate the above average temperature prediction is still on course at the end of July:
http://www.metoffice.gov.uk/weather/seasonal/summer2007/index.html
THe problem with seasonal weather forecasts is that they get embellished by the Green lobby, as represented by that special category of national news media journalists, the environmental journalists. An example is Michael McCarthy, environment editor of the Independent, who came up with this piece of wishful thinking at the end of April:
http://www.independent.co.uk/environment/climate_change/article2491773.ece
"The possibility is growing that Britain in 2007 may experience a summer of unheard-of high temperatures, with the thermometer even reaching 40C, or 104F,a level never recorded in history.
The likelihood of such a "forty degree summer" is being underlined by the tumbling over the past year of a whole series of British temperature records, strongly suggesting that the British Isles have begun to experience a period of rapid, not to say alarming, warming. This would be quite outside all historical experience, but entirely consistent with predictions of climate change." |
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